Oil Exacerbates Sub-Saharan Africa’s Currency Woes


Since lower oil prices typically result in depreciation of the oil exporters’ currencies, the dramatic plunge of oil prices has severe implications for sub-Saharan Africa.

After the global financial crisis, many emerging economies have coped with diminished global growth prospects by deploying direct government intervention and capital controls for competitive devaluation. In turn, advanced economies have achieved the same indirectly through low policy rates and quantitative easing (QE).

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Categorized as Energy

Not Everyone is Bailing on the Arctic


After billions of dollars invested over several years, Royal Dutch Shell said September 28 it would end oil exploration offshore Alaska after “disappointing” results.

However, industry efforts to drill for oil and natural gas in the Arctic are unlikely to end with Shell’s decision to abandon the Chukchi Sea.

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Categorized as Energy

OPEC Eyes $80 Oil as Economic Headwinds Rise


Oil may rise to $80 a barrel if the global energy cartel has anything to say about it.

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, or OPEC, announced that it would target $80 a barrel for oil, a price point nearly double current WTI futures. Oil has continued its downward slide in 2015, after a brief recovery earlier in the year, with prices briefly falling below $40 before recovering.

Oil Price Volatility as the New Normal?


On September 10 the EIA reported a production decline in the Lower 48—essentially shale production—of 208,000 BOPD. That is a staggeringly enormous number, approximately 10 percent of the estimated global over-supply. Additionally, it was a week-over-week number, which makes it all the more impressive. Yet it received little attention through the week. Rather, Goldman Sachs was grabbing all the headlines with its $20 call on oil.

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Categorized as Energy

Carbon Trading Initiative Consequences


In recent years, there has been significant movement toward land acquisition in developing countries to establish forestry plantations for offsetting carbon pollution elsewhere in the world. Land grabbing is the common reference to this practice.

These carbon-trading initiatives work on the basis that forestry plantations absorb carbon dioxide and other polluting greenhouse gases. This helps to undo the environmental damage associated with modern western lifestyles.

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Categorized as Energy

Oil Market Fundamentals Will Need Some Magic


The party is over for tight oil.  Despite brash statements by U.S. producers and misleading analysis by Raymond James, low oil prices are killing tight oil companies.  Reports this week from IEA and EIA paint a bleak picture for oil prices as the world production surplus continues.  EIA said that U.S. production will fall by 1 million barrels per day over the next year and that, “expected crude oil production declines from May 2015 through mid-2016 are largely attributable to unattractive economic returns.”

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Oil Takes the Path of Least Resistance


As traders, investors and pundits, we all like to think that what we do is akin to a science. We believe that by working harder and being smarter we can give ourselves an edge, that enough research will reveal to us the next move, either a long-term trend or an intraday blip on a chart, and that we can profit from that knowledge. Usually, especially over longer time spans, we are correct in that assumption. Sometimes, however, no amount of fundamental or technical analysis will help.

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Do Oil Sands Have to be Dirty?


After decades of exhaustive attempts to overcome the dirty reputation of oil sands, we finally have an environmentally-friendly and low cost method to tap into these vast resources in the state of Utah—good news both for Mother Nature and all oil and gas investors.

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Categorized as Energy

Perhaps Japan’s Abe Should Fire Off Another Arrow?


On 11 August, the Japanese government went along with its plan to revive nuclear energy after the Fukushima disaster by restarting one of the Sendai nuclear power plants. Prime Minister Shinzo Abe insists that Japan cannot thrive without nuclear energy because oil and gas imports put a costly burden on the Japanese economy.

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Categorized as Energy

Are the Saudis Killing OPEC?


“If you are the world’s leading energy economy, you produce energy, that’s what you do.”

“A government can stay irrational longer than it can stay solvent.”

“Even in the short term, you’re dead, if you commit suicide.”

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Categorized as Energy