American Economic Indicators Flash Red


A number of economic indicators released recently point to a weakening American economy.  Americans are buying fewer services, manufacturing activity is down, and America’s trade deficit—along with the rest of the world—is growing.

In June, services demand fell, according to a new study by Markit Economics. The Markit flash services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) saw a slight increase to 51.3, which Markit calls a “subdued” increase from the prior month’s 51.2 reading.

U.S. Housing Data Disappoints


A number of studies point to growing weakness in America’s housing market.  Existing home sales grew just 1.8% in May, shy of analyst estimates. Just 5.53 million existing homes were sold in May, up slightly from April but below consensus estimates of 5.57 million units. On a year-over-year basis, existing home sales rose 4.5%.

American Home Prices Set to Rise, Jobs to Fall


New data suggests home prices in America will keep climbing, despite continued weakness in the labor market causing unemployment to rise.  Builders are increasingly confident about the single-family home market, according to a new study by the National Association of Homebuilders. The NAHB’s Housing Market Index rose by 2 points in June because of more buying activity and a limitation on places to build new homes.

Hillary Plays Dangerous Game with Bill’s Legacy


In trying to associate herself with her husband Bill Clinton’s economic legacy, Hillary Clinton is in danger of making herself look vulnerable and weak.  With opinion polls showing a clear lead for Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump, especially among female and ethnic minority voters, it is highly likely the US will have its first female President In November.

Off to Electoral College


This infographic was in the Wall Street Journal on the US election.  It is important to remember that the US does not elect the President by direct popular vote.  This makes the national polls a bit misleading. 

There are 538 Electoral College votes.  To be elected a candidate must secure a majority or 270 Electoral College votes.  Obama received 332 electoral votes and Romney 206.

Interest Rate Eyed as Federal Reserve Meeting Looms


Markets are becoming increasingly skeptical of the Federal Reserve as the world’s most important central bank heads into a meeting to decide on interest rates.

After several weeks of strong hints to the world that interest rates were going upwards, both economists and market participants are growing increasingly skeptical that the Fed will actually raise rates.

Weak Jobs, Consumer Activity Hint at Weakening American Economy


A disappointing increase in job openings and a poor increase in consumer credit indicate Americans are increasingly struggling to make ends meet.  In April, consumer credit rose just $13.4 billion, far below the $18 billion expected and less than half of March’s $28.4 billion, according to new data released by the Federal Reserve.

Analyst expectations of sharply increasing consumer credit usage were based on previous data that showed strong retail sales, which is often financed by credit cards.

Worsening Labor Conditions Spook Federal Reserve


Deterioration in America’s job market are making the Federal Reserve reverse course on its plans to raise borrowing costs.  In May, several chief Fed officials gave public speeches and interviews urging markets to prepare for an interest rate hike.

Experts: Don’t Panic, it’s Just One Jobs Report


Editor’s note: The U.S. economy added a disappointing 38,000 jobs last month, the smallest number in more than five years, according to seasonally adjusted figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The weak numbers suggest a June interest rate hike – which the Federal Reserve had recently hinted is possible – is now off the table. We asked two of our experts to give us their quick takes on the report.

We need a credible plan for the economy

U.S. Job Market Suffers a Disaster


A new report on the job market in America is being called a “disaster” by several economists, as weak job growth and discouraged workers contribute to a bleaker economic outlook.