With its long history of feudal oppression, industrial workhouses, and dire slums, England is no stranger to deprivation. Even today, we are all too familiar with phenomena like “beds in sheds,” soaring food bank use and fuel poverty. Therefore, it is hardly surprising that, whenever there is a release of a new deprivation dataset, we tend to focus our attention on the “most deprived” places across England.
Canada’s national election is Monday. The latest opinion polls show a virtual dead heat between the governing Conservatives and Liberals.
Two main issues dominate. The first is the economy. Canada is struggling. Although the contraction period is over, growth is fragile. The economy contracted for the first five months of the year. Unemployment has steadily risen over the past year. Last month it stood at 7.1%, which matches the highest level since the end of 2013. It was 6.6% in January.
Japan is moving toward its largest privatization in two decades. It is selling Japan Post. It will consist of a holding company, a bank, and an insurance company. It will likely raise the equivalent of $10-$12 bln.
There will be 495 mln shares of the holding company that will be sold, 412 mln shares of the bank and 66 mln shares of the insurer. Domestic investors will take 80% of the initial public offering, and the remaining 20% is earmarked for overseas investors.
According to the latest data, Vietnam’s economy received a boost from lower energy costs and increased foreign investment. The nation’s central bank is also well situated in commencing more easing strategies in the event of an economic downturn. Vietnam’s central bank devalued the dong, increasing exports and foreign investment.
Sometimes boring debates are important. Mind numbing detail gets in the way of good policy. Therefore, it is with an obscure feature of credit cards known as “interchange fees.”
Currently, these fees are both highly regulated, and inappropriately regulated by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and not the Australian Consumer and Competition Commission (ACCC).
Imports into China fell for the 11th month in a row, raising concerns that Chinese growth is worsening. Imports into China fell 17.7% in local currency terms in September, acceleration from the 14.3% decrease in August. China’s trade surplus rose to 376.2 billion yuan, or about $59.5 billion, above expectations. However, China’s weak trade surplus was worsened by a 1.1% decline in exports, although that was better than the 6.1% decline seen in August.
Positive momentum for EM assets looks to extend its moves from last week. Buoying EM sentiment is gains in developed markets equity indices, the weaker dollar more broadly, and gains in the commodity space. Regarding the latter, we note that the moves in the MSCI EM index, for example, have closely mirrored the moves in CRB commodity index, even though the benefits to EM countries from moves in commodity prices are far from uniform.
When its GDP per capita hit almost US$7500 in 2014, China entered the middle-income stage of economic development. Relatively few countries that have made middle income status in the past three or four decades have graduated to high-income status, or achieved per capita incomes over US$16,000.
Now the Chinese economic slowdown has raised questions about whether China will be able to continue its steady economic growth to avoid this middle-income trap in the coming decade.
Rising income and wealth inequality (measured by the Gini coefficient) have marked the last three decades of China’s remarkable economic transition from a centrally planned economy to an increasingly market-oriented one. When analysing the causes of China’s inequality, researchers frequently invoke rapid trade integration, technology, human capital differences and social security systems, but very little has been said about the role of monetary policy and the banking system.
After a troublesome August and most of September, risk appetites were rekindled beginning in late September. Aiding this are ideas that the period of extremely accommodative monetary policy by the major central banks will persist longer than previously anticipated. This has weighed on the dollar, lifted equities and commodities.
