Will a Weaker RMB Necessarily Aid the Chinese Economy?: Michael Pettis
As part of China’s adjustment process, it is a virtual certainty that domestic growth will slow significantly for many years. However, many analysts argue that by boosting China’s export competitiveness abroad, a weaker RMB will provide some relief from the sharp expected slowdown associated with rebalancing. But such claims are invalid: China’s export competitiveness will deteriorate no matter what Beijing does to the currency. Why?