Recent reports from Reuters have noted that US economic conditions are not exactly in good stead. This is worst depreciation of US economy after 1982 as per financial reports of fourth quarter of 2008 fiscal.
Much of present economic conditions of US could be blamed on exports that have been falling steadily. In US consumers have restricted their expenditures. Both these factors have played a significant role in sordid economic conditions in US.
According to latest information on economic conditions at US national economy depreciated at a rate of 6.2 percent for 2008 fiscal. During January 2009 it had been calculated by Commerce Department that in final quarter of 2008 economy of US depreciated at a rate of 3.8 percent.
As far as economic conditions for US are concerned present state of affairs would be continuing in first half of 2009 fiscal as well. However, economic experts have also reiterated that they expected such conditions beforehand and thus these results were not as shocking as they would be otherwise.
In latest information on economic conditions in America it has been seen that stock markets in US have been hit hard by global economic downturn. This has been indicated by its various stock indices like Dow Jones Industrial Average for example that have declined at an alarmingly sharp rate.
US economic conditions have been affected further by declining levels of consumer expenditures. As per estimates of Commerce Department in fourth quarter of 2008 fiscal consumer expenditures went down by 4.3 percent. This decline also had an adverse effect on gross domestic product of USA. In January 2009 rate of depreciation in consumer expenditures was 3.5 percent.
Problems in US economic conditions have been compounded by fall in exports that are major sources of revenue for US. In 2008 exports of US went down at a rate of 23.6 percent. In economic reports for 2008 it had been estimated that exports in USA had gone down by 19.7 percent.
Losses to tune of $19.9 billion had been made in inventories section in US. Investments in business sector of American economy have gone down by 21.1 percent in 2008 fiscal to add to problems of present US economic conditions.
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Several variables are changing simultaneously which are hurting the prospects for Brazilian assets. The main ones are: (A) Dilma is gaining ground and Marina losing momentum faster than we expected, (B) the broad strong dollar trend hitting EM across the board, and (C) a global equity sell off.
Professor at Columbia University. Recipient of the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences in 2001 & the John Bates Clark Medal in 1979. Author of "Freefall: America, Free Markets", "The Sinking of the World Economy", "Globalisation and its Discontents" & "Making Globalisation Work".
Professor of Economics & Director of the Earth Institute at Columbia University. Special Adviser to the UN Secretary-General on the Millennium Development Goals. Founder & co-President of the Millennium Promise Alliance.
Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom from 1992 to 2007. Prime Minister of the UK between 2007 and 2010. Inaugural 'Distinguished Leader in Residence' at New York University. Advisor at World Economic Forum
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James W. Harpel Professor of Capital Formation and Growth at the John F. Kennedy School of Government in Harvard University. Director of Program in International Finance and Macroeconomics at the National Bureau of Economic Research.